Link :Amazon, Goodreads. Price: £9.40

Predicting the future – from whether it will rain today to whether we should cross the road – is an essential part of our everyday life. Yet, as a rule, we are exceptionally bad at it, and routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events. In this book Nate Silver, the man who successfully predicted the results in every state for the 2008 US Presidential Elections, explores and explains the art of prediction, visiting hundreds of experts to learn from their techniques and how we can consistently be less wrong.

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